A COVID-19 e o conhecimento científico
Um olhar a partir da África subsariana
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.53282/sulsul.v2i01.828Keywords:
COVID-19; África; conhecimento científico; rigor conceptual; modelagemAbstract
The article analyses the production of knowledge about COVID-19 based on projections on the trends of this pandemic in sub-Saharan Africa. One of the well-known and mediatic projections was made by Imperial College London (ICL). The evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic in sub-Saharan Africa is consistent with ICL projections. However, so far it has been an inexplicable surprise that the health systems in the sub-Saharan region, which are considered fragile, have not collapsed. Paradoxically, it has been among the countries of the Global North, therefore, among the societies that have the means and the institutional capacity and healthy infrastructures that the pandemic of COVID-19 has been calamitous. The analysis suggests that the main gap in the projection of the ICL in the context of sub-Saharan Africa is associated with the fact that it is based on a Eurocentric conceptual and analytical framework. It is known that in social analysis the concepts are sensitive to the social structure. Consequently, although the Projection of the ICL is robust in methodological terms its conceptual weakness is noted in the discrepancies between the projected data and the data observed in sub-Saharan Africa. It is recommended, therefore, that despite the known limitations in modelling social phenomena, efforts in this sense should privilege conceptual rigor in the same degree that privileges the measurement and mathematical consistency of modelling.
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